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small percentage of the total housing stock, its effects reverberate throughout the Iocal <br />housing market; <br />"The impact of the net addition to the housing stock is greater than this small <br />percentage would suggest. This additional percentage of new units provides <br />the safety valve that prevents demand pressures from either raising the price <br />of the existing units or lower the quality of portions of the stock." Gruen, In <br />the Land Use Game. , ,Who Gets the Monopoly on the Good Life?", Iv <br />Management and Control of Growth ~ULI 1978}, p. 317. <br />Unfortunately, the kind of new construction that is currently occurring in central Lane <br />County does not include the kind of low-income housing for the elderly that is necessary <br />to free up and preserve a key segment of the existing housing market. That segment is the <br />large quantity of lower-cost single-family homes occupied by the elderly and late-middle- <br />aged. <br />A recent study highlights the importance of turnover in maintaining the condition and <br />quality of existing housing stock. In ~rnover and Filtering of Postwar Single~Family <br />Homes, author Dowell Myers writes that "T'he large stack of small, lower-cast, single-family <br />houses built in the 194D's and 195D's is an important resource for affordable <br />homeownership." He observes that "'This stack of postwar housing constitutes nearly one- <br />third of all owner-occupied, single-family houses today and remains a great resource of <br />affordable housing." Dowell states that '"I'he research reported in this article...has <br />identified postwar houses as one large vintage done-third of the total stock of single-family <br />houses} remaining sheltered from forces of gentrification and providing affordable <br />opportunities for homeownership." 'Tlowever," he finds that "those houses remain relatively <br />unavailable to the market because aflong-term occupancy." Dowell concludes that, 'fin spite <br />of the absence of gentrification, turnover in the postwar stock brings the benefit of <br />increased maintenance and repairs as well. That benefit of turnover in postwar homes <br />needs to be recognized when making housing policy and developing neighborhood or <br />areawide land use plans." <br />The Mid-Springfield Refinement Plan notes that most of the area consists of homes built <br />shortly after 'World War II. Both post-war and prewar homes occupy the large residential <br />area just to the west of the site. These homes have a high level of occupancy by seniors <br />and a relatively law turnover rate. The neighborhoods are generally well-kept but there is <br />a significant amount of deferred maintenance. Currently, the City of Springfield operates <br />a housing rehabilitation loan program. Eugene has a similar program. However, such <br />programs meet only a small percentage of the need for regular maintenance and <br />rehabilitation in these and other older neighborhoods throughout the Metro Area. <br />Many people living in these alder Names are at or approaching retirement, and are facing <br />significant drops in income. They are financially unable to move up or out of their existing <br />hornes, and they are also financially and often physically unable to maintain those homes. <br />Roughly 16,DD~ elderly persons 65 years or older live within 1D miles of the Springwood <br />Springwood Plan Amendment Application <br />Applicant's Proposed Findings <br />March 24,1991 Drab <br />Page 14 <br />