Ordinance No. 20437 - Laserfiche WebLink

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ATTACHMENT 5 - 16. The ethnic and racial diversity in the population forecast includes base data of white non- Hispanics accounting for 86.2 percent of the County's population and all other ethnic minorities accounting for 13.8 percent Hispanics represent the Iargest share of the ethnic minority population (approximately 44.2 percent}, followed by AsiuRacifia Islanders (21.0 percent) followed by persons who identify themselves as more than one race (17.4 percent). Blacks and Native Americans represent about 1 percent, and 7.3 percent of the County's ethnic minority population, respectively. Of the total County population, Hispanics represent 6.1 percent 17. The total fertility rate in the County was 1.63 in 2000. This rate is somewhat lower than the State average of 1.98 children per woman in 2000, end even lower than the 1990 County rate (1.71). The trend of declining fertility rates over the past 2 decades is forecast to continue. A larger decrease in fertility rates has been offset by the increase of the female Hispanic population which is associated with higher fertility rates than the majority population of white non - Hispanics. Age - specific fertility rates in the County have shifted slightly in recent yearn and there has been an increase in the percentage of women statewide postponing child- bearing or deciding not to have children at all. In addition, there is now a smaller share of younger mothers than in the past 18. Occupancy rates in Lane County are higher than the statewide occupancy rate. Coastal cities (Dunes .City and Florence) have the lowest. occupancy rates due to vacation homes and seasonal housing. The places with the highest occupancy rates — above 96 percent - are Veneta, Westfir, and the Eugene-SpringfieId UGB. The average number of persons that occupy a household (PPH), or household size, is influenced by several factors; age and racialletlmic composition; share of elderly population versus the share of married couples and growing families due to the propensity of elderly to live alone, and changes in fertility rates and school enrollment. 19. By housing type, the PPH in single - family units (SFR) is typically higher than in multifamily residences (MFR), or mobile. homes. This is the case in Lane County, its unincorporated area, and most of its cities. In Junction City, however, the PPH is higher in mobile homes than in other housing types. The rates of increase in the number of housing units in Lane County and its cities and unincorporated area are similar to the growth rates of their corresponding populations for most of the ten smaller cities in Lane County. The pattern of population and housing change in the County also remains relatively similar. 20. Facilities such as nursing homes college dorms, and prisons are categorized as group quarters. In 2008, 3.0 percent of Lane County's population, or 10,669 persons, resided in group quarters facilities. The City of Eugene is home to about 82 percent of the County's group quarters population, with 90 percent of persons in group quarters residing within the Eugene - Springfield UGB. The forecast assumes the group gnaiters - population will remain fairly stable during the forecast period except in Junction City, where construction of a state prison and state hospital is planned for the early years of the forecast. 21. The mortality rate used to develop the forecast assumes that current mortality will improve during the forecast period and that the gender difference in life expectancy at birth will mostly maintain the current level: The ratan age at all births will slightly increase, which is consistent with the U.S., state, and county historical trends since the. 1960s. Ordinance No. PA 1255 FNkUt "B" Findings ATTACHMENT'