Draft EUG Master Plan Update, February 2010

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FORECASTS OF AVIATION DEMAND CHAPTER 2 2. Passenger Enplanements Passenger enplanements are the activity of passengers boarding commercial service aircraft departing from EUG. Enplanements include passengers on scheduled commercial service aircraft, and on non- scheduled charter aircraft. Enplanements do not include airline crew. Passenger enplanement data is provided to Airport management by commercial passenger service carriers, who maintain data as they transport people to and from EUG. Having actual historic data instead of estimates gives confidence in using the base data for forecasting. Evaluation and forecasting do not address deplanements, which are passengers exiting commercial service aircraft arriving at EUG. It is expected that each departing passenger returns to EUG, so that the number of enplanements equals the approximate number of deplanements. Past master plans have separated commercial passenger enplanements into scheduled and charter; scheduled enplanements into major, national, and regional carriers; and commercial passenger aircraft into large, commuter, and air taxi. EUG commercial passenger service is primarily scheduled, with approximately 1.5% charter service. Major and national carriers and aircraft which have served EUG in the past have been replaced by regional carriers and aircraft. In 2007, there was no scheduled major or national carrier serving EUG, and none is expected immediately. Accordingly, for this Master Plan Update, enplanement evaluation and forecasting are not categorized. 2.1 Enplanement History and Industry Trends This section presents information on historical passenger activity and Table 2-1: trends at EUG, and also includes a discussion of general trends in Enplanement History travel and in the commercial airline industry. YearEnplanements 1997 383,890 Table 2-1 shows historical EUG passenger enplanements. As 1998 370,850 shown, there were 383,890 enplanements in 1997, which fell to 1999 355,992 301,339 in 2003 (as a result of the events of September 11, 2001), 2000 376,522 and rose to 360,258 in 2006. The state of Oregon also experienced 2001 364,049 an economic recession following the events of September 11, 2001. 2002 312,735 Due to challenges facing the entire commercial aviation industry over 2003 301,339 the past five or six years, EUG has been typical in terms of seeing a 2004 347,672 loss in traffic and then seeing a slow rebound. The year 2006 2005 360,049 continued the trend of passenger growth, which can be attributed to a 2006 360,258 stronger, leaner airline industry and a stable market base in the CAGR* Eugene area. 1997-2006 -0.70% Since 2000, the aviation industry has been battered with 9/11, SARS, * Compound Annual Growth Rate and record fuel prices. Over the last five years, major restructuring Source: Airport management and downsizing among the mainline legacy carriers has occurred records 2-2 Eugene Airport Master Plan Update (February 2010)